It would appear that the recent "troubles" up north are starting to have a real impact on the Canadian Labor Party and Paul Martin. This may well be the beginning of the end, and signal a shift to the Conservative Party and Bloc Quebecois.
Governments in Canada have to resign if they are defeated in the House of Commons in a formal vote of confidence or over key legislative matters such as the federal budget. A call for an early election is looking more and more likely, and if held today, Paul Martin's tenure would be even more questionable than it is currently. Currently, elections are slated to be called towards the end of the year, when a final report on the "kickback" scandal is released.